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AMKOR TECHNOLOGY, INC. (AMKR)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 printed in line-to-better: net sales $1.32B and EPS $0.09, with both revenue and EPS modestly above S&P Global consensus; gross margin compressed to 11.9% on lower utilization and higher R&D tied to RDL programs . Estimates comparison marked with asterisks; values retrieved from S&P Global.*
- Mix: Communications outperformed internal plan; Computing grew 21% YoY; Consumer +23% YoY; Automotive/Industrial remained soft; utilization in the low-50% range pressured margins .
- Q2 guide implies ~8% q/q revenue growth at the midpoint ($1.375–$1.475B), GM 11.5–13.5%, EPS $0.07–$0.23; FY25 capex held at ~$850M; management reiterated agility amid tariff/export control uncertainty but noted operations largely unaffected (free-trade-zone exposure, minimal U.S. shipments) .
- Potential stock catalysts: modest Q1 beat, sequential growth guide, H2 content recovery in next-gen iOS SiP socket, and accelerating AI/advanced packaging pipeline (2.5D, RDL, co-packaged optics), tempered by tariffs/export controls and auto/industrial recovery timing .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Communications revenue “exceeded our expectations” in Q1, helping deliver $1.32B revenue at the upper end of guidance; EPS $0.09; strength expected to continue into Q2 with improved line utilization .
- Computing +21% YoY on AI/HPC engagements (2.5D flows, PC programs); RDL-based AI CPU programs commenced and co-packaged optics moved into production with a leading data center customer .
- Balance sheet/liquidity strong: cash + ST investments $1.56B; total liquidity ~$2.2B; total debt ~$1.15B; debt/EBITDA ~1.1x; continued dividend ($0.08269/share) and capex to support growth .
Selected quotes:
- “Communications revenue exceeded our expectations…” .
- “We confirmed plans for a turnkey test solutions expansion on our K5 campus in Incheon, Korea…” .
- “We are collaborating…on co-packaged optics and photonic solutions...we’re actually in production now” .
What Went Wrong
- Gross margin fell to 11.9% (from 15.1% in Q4 and 14.8% in Q1’24) due to low-50% utilization and higher R&D (RDL acceleration) .
- Automotive/Industrial declined 6% YoY and remains at/near trough; management is cautious on a strong H2 recovery despite robust advanced-packaging pipelines (ADAS/infotainment/sensors) .
- Macro/trade risks: management cited evolving tariffs/export controls as key uncertainties, and an accelerated AI GPU transition plus expanded restrictions temper near-term compute outlook vs earlier expectations .
Financial Results
Headline P&L vs prior periods and estimates
Notes: EBITDA is non-GAAP; reconciliation provided in the press release . Consensus values marked with asterisks; values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Q2 2025 outlook vs Street
Consensus values marked with asterisks; values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Segment/End-market mix (Selected Operating Data)
KPIs
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategy pillars: technology leadership, geographic footprint expansion, and partnering with lead customers in growth markets .
- “As a technology leader in advanced packaging and test…High-performance computing and AI are driving technology innovations and the need for advanced packaging” .
- On tariffs/export controls: “Our global manufacturing operations are largely unaffected…majority of our facilities operate in free trade zones…ship a small amount…into the U.S.” .
- On Arizona: “On track to begin construction…in the second half of 2025…evaluating options to increase scale and expand technology offerings” .
- On RDL/co-packaged optics: “One [RDL] device in production…multiple other devices in qualification…co-packaged optics…we’re actually in production now” .
Q&A Highlights
- Growth drivers: Q2 strength led by Communications and Computing; management does not see tariff-related pull-ins behind Q1/Q2 .
- Capex discipline: ~$850M in 2025 focused ~70% on capacity/capability (HPC: 2.5D/RDL, advanced SiP, test); flexibility to delay if needed; potential acceleration for Arizona .
- Margins/utilization: GM expansion expected with higher utilization in H2; current utilization low-50% weighed on Q1 GM; Vietnam burden ~100 bps in early 2025 .
- Auto outlook: Market hit a trough; advanced packaging (ADAS/infotainment/sensors) has strength; mainstream still cautious; Q2 single- to mid-single-digit q/q growth targeted .
- Compute mix: Near-term tempered by accelerated AI GPU transition/export controls; diversification across GPUs, CPUs, networking; RDL programs ramping through 2025–2026 .
Estimates Context
- Q1 vs consensus (S&P Global): Revenue $1.322B vs $1.276B*, EPS $0.09 vs $0.085* — both small beats. GM 11.9% (Street typically models gross margin; not disclosed here) . Consensus values retrieved from S&P Global.*
- Q2 guide vs consensus: Midpoint revenue ~$1.425B vs $1.422B*, EPS $0.07–$0.23 vs $0.160*; guide brackets Street on both revenue and EPS . Consensus values retrieved from S&P Global.*
- Implications: Modest Q1 beat with sequential growth guide supports near-term estimate stability/slight upward revisions for Q2 revenue/EPS; margin trajectory hinges on utilization recovery, R&D normalization, and Vietnam dilution tapering .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Modest beat, cautious quality: Q1 outperformed consensus on revenue/EPS but with material margin compression from underutilization and elevated R&D; watch GM recovery path as volumes improve into Q2/H2 .
- Sequential growth ahead: Q2 revenue guide +8% q/q (midpoint) with GM 11.5–13.5% signals early utilization improvement; EPS guide brackets Street .
- H2 content catalyst: Re-entry into next-gen iOS SiP socket and ongoing Android recovery set the stage for above-seasonal H2; line-of-sight to late-Q2 production start for the new socket .
- Compute diversifying: 2.5D remains core, but RDL and co-packaged optics add incremental levers; export control risks remain a headwind to visibility .
- Auto/Industrial bottoming: Advanced auto programs (ADAS/infotainment/sensors) should outgrow mainstream; a gradual recovery appears more likely than a snapback .
- Capital allocation consistent: FY25 capex ~$850M maintained to fund HPC, SiP, and test; strong liquidity and steady dividend underpin balance-sheet resilience .
- U.S. capacity optionality: Arizona project on track for 2H’25 construction; potential acceleration and scale-up provide strategic leverage if domestic packaging demand accelerates .
References:
- Q1 2025 press release and Selected Operating Data .
- Form 8-K (Item 2.02) and attached press release (same figures) .
- Q1 2025 earnings call transcript (prepared remarks and Q&A) .
- Prior quarter press releases and calls for context: Q4 2024 ; Q3 2024 ; Q3 2024 call .
- Dividend press release (May 15, 2025) .
Estimates: Consensus figures marked with asterisks are values retrieved from S&P Global.*